Assessments / Blog

ES #F Mixed signals with extreme volatility again!

The daily chart of the S&P 500 mini futures contract above shows our proprietary SUPPLY and DEMAND Dashboard and BXB (Bar by Bar) Signals using data from the NYSE.


The market closed 3.00-points down on Friday with mixed signals, similar to the close on the 19th which was discussed in our assessment on the 20th (3 days later the market started a down move that ended up 66.75-points down). The big difference was that on the 19th the market gained 32.25-points for the day, whilst Friday it lost 3.00-points.

On a closer look at our tools the following anomalies were noticed on Friday:

  1. Dashboard is bullish, but daily signals are bearish (similar to the 19th).
  2. Friday’s high (2946.50) took out the previous swing high, but failed to close above the previous high (2944.75), on solid buying pressure.
  3. Buying pressure, Supply/Demand sentiment and Volume (decreasing on up swings) are showing a Divergence to the down side.
  4. SD Volatility is at an extreme low (“bullish” similar to the 19th), but price could not stay above the previous swing high. The reading of 37 is the lowest since March the 13th.

If the market does not rally and close above 2944.75 next week, we expect more weakness to develop. Watch the SD Volatility readings (Average volatility on the Dashboard) in the coming days, if it increases substantially from here we should see more weakness in the markets. We also have to wait and see how the so called “good news” with renewed talks in the “trade war” plays out?

End of the day Signals August the 31st

S & D Dashboard Algorithm is Bullish

Daily Signals are Bearish (Anomaly)

These readings are an independent assessment of the one and only measureable fundamental market mover: SUPPLY and DEMAND. It does not matter if price is influenced by a geopolitical event, seasonality, fundamental economic data releases or sentiment driven news, etc. It all reflects in Supply and Demand, the “footprints” of the “Big Boys” or “Smart Money”.


Be cautious with long positions. Wait for clear signals before positions are taken.

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